A fresh political poll released by leading pollster and Global InfoAnalytics Executive Director, Mussa Dankwah, has sparked renewed debate about the state of Ghanaian politics and the electoral prospects of the country’s two dominant political parties.
The survey, described as a hypothetical “2024 Election Re-Run Poll – June 2026,” suggests that President John Dramani Mahama would secure an even more decisive victory if Ghanaians were asked to vote again today.
According to figures shared by Dankwah, Mahama would obtain 63.3% of the vote in a rerun of the 2024 presidential election, while former Vice President Mahamudu Bawumia would secure 34.4%. Other candidates would collectively receive 2.3%.
The findings have immediately generated intense discussion among political observers, particularly because they suggest that Mahama’s support base has remained largely intact and may even have expanded—despite being more than a year into his presidency.
According to Dankwah’s analysis, if non-voters from the previous election were given another opportunity to vote, Mahama would attract approximately 56.7% of their support, while Bawumia would secure 35.3%, with the remaining votes going to other candidates.
Political analysts say this finding could be significant because elections are often determined not only by party loyalists but also by swing voters and previously disengaged citizens.
If accurate, the figures suggest that the ruling National Democratic Congress (NDC) may be benefiting from positive public sentiment among sections of the electorate that sat out the previous election.
While the poll appears favorable to Mahama nationally, the survey also points to potential challenges for the governing party.
Dankwah noted that Mahama is reportedly struggling to maintain dominance in the Bono and Bono East Regions and may also be losing some ground in parts of the Northern Region.
However, the survey indicates that the President is outperforming his 2024 electoral performance in the Eastern Region while also recording stronger numbers in Greater Accra, Central, Western and Western North Regions.